2016 Vermont Republican presidential primary
The 2016 Vermont Republican presidential primary was held on March 1, 2016, along with ten other state nominating contests during Super Tuesday .
Donald Trump held a big edge in Vermont polls, with John Kasich and Marco Rubio splitting much of the rest of the vote.[1] However, on election day, Donald Trump only narrowly won the popular vote by 2.3%, and tied with John Kasich in the delegate count.
Polling
Poll source
Date
1st
2nd
3rd
Other
Primary results
March 1, 2016
Donald Trump 32.34%
John Kasich 30.01%
Marco Rubio 19.08%
Ted Cruz 9.61%, Ben Carson 4.13%, Jeb Bush 1.79%, Rand Paul 0.68%, Chris Christie 0.58%, Carly Fiorina 0.34%, Rick Santorum 0.27%
Castleton University/Vermont
Public Radio[2]
Margin of error: ± 9.01% Sample size: 118
February 3–17, 2016
Donald Trump 32.4%
Marco Rubio
16.9%
Ted Cruz
10.5%
John Kasich 10.0%, Jeb Bush 7.7%, Ben Carson 3.1%, Chris Christie 2.4%, Carly Fiorina 1.0%, Rick Santorum 0.6%, Someone else 3.3%, Not sure/Don't know 12.1%
Results
Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 20% or more of the vote proportionally.
Analysis
Vermont's voter base is much more moderate and irreligious than the Southern Super Tuesday contests.[5] Exit polls by Edison Research showed this benefitted Trump and Kasich: Trump carried somewhat conservative voters with 35% of the vote, but John Kasich won moderates with 40% to Trump's 34%.[6] Kasich did particularly well in the populous Burlington metro , holding Trump to a narrow margin statewide.
Turnout dropped in the Vermont Republican primary compared with 2012 , as some registered Republicans crossed over to vote for favorite son Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary .
See also
References
^ Cox, Amanda; Katz, Josh; Quealy, Kevin (March 1, 2016). "Who Will Win Super Tuesday? Live Estimates of Tonight's Final Republican Delegate Count" . The New York Times . ISSN 0362-4331 . Retrieved June 19, 2022 .
^ "The VPR Poll: The Races, The Issues And The Full Results" . The Castleton Polling Institute . February 22, 2016. Retrieved February 23, 2016 .
^ "VT Elections Database » 2016 President Republican Primary" . VT Elections Database . Retrieved June 17, 2020 .
^ "Vermont Republican Delegation 2016" . www.thegreenpapers.com . Retrieved June 17, 2020 .
^ Lipka, Michael. "A closer look at religion in the Super Tuesday states" . Pew Research Center . Retrieved June 19, 2022 .
^ "2016 Election Center" . CNN . Retrieved June 19, 2022 .