Canadian federal election results on Vancouver Island

Electoral history

Year

Results

2021

2019

2015

2011

2008

2006

2004

2000

1997

1993

1988

1984

1980

1979

1974

1972

1968

1965

1963

1962

1958

1957

1953

1949

1945

1940

1935

1930

1926

1925

This page shows results of Canadian federal elections on Vancouver Island.

Regional profile

Like most of British Columbia outside of Greater Vancouver, Vancouver Island tends to be a battleground between the Conservatives and the New Democratic Party (NDP). This is as true now, as has been in the past, except between 1988 and 2004. In 1988, the NDP swept the island in a wave of popular support that saw the party win the most seats in its history. This was wiped out in 1993 however, when many NDP voters switched to the Reform Party which won every seat except Victoria, which was picked up by the Liberals for the first time since 1968. This arrangement continued until the resurgence of the NDP in 2004, which led to it picking up Nanaimo—Cowichan, while the Liberals benefited by the seat switching of Keith Martin in Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca, whose personal popularity allowed him to be re-elected as a Liberal.

Since winning their first seat in the region in seventeen years in 2004, the NDP won two more seats here in 2006 picking up Victoria from the Liberals and Vancouver Island North from the Tories. The Tories won Vancouver Island North back in 2008. In 2011, the NDP picked up Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca from the Liberals while Green Party leader Elizabeth May defeated Tory cabinet member Gary Lunn in Saanich—Gulf Islands to win her party's first elected parliamentary seat in history. The Liberals failed to cross the 15 percent mark in any Vancouver Island-based riding. The island swung hard to the NDP in 2015; May was the only non-NDP MP elected here. In 2019, the Greens were able to pick up Nanaimo-Ladysmith, as well as win over 25% of the vote in Victoria and Esquimalt-Saanich Sooke. The Island is now a 3 way race between the NDP, the Conservatives, and the Greens.

2021 election results on Vancouver Island
Party		Votes		Seats
Party		Total	%	Seats
	New Democratic	170,555	37.0	6
	Green	66,819	14.6	1
	Conservative	118,160	25.7
	Liberal	81,548	17.8
	People's	20,575	4.5
	Communist	681	0.15
	Maverick	310	0.07
	Animal Alliance	273	0.0
	Marxist–Leninist	201	0.0
Total		459,122	100	7

Votes by party throughout time

Election	Liberal	Conservative	New Democratic	Green	PC	Reform / Alliance	Others
Election
1984	33,829 11.5%	—	125,184 42.5%	2,543 0.9%	129,186 43.9%	—	3,613 1.2%
1988	49,742 15.7%	—	138,695 43.9%	3,012 1.0%	94,076 29.8%	26,695 8.4%	3,994 1.3%
1993	85,732 25.6%	—	64,369 19.2%	3,401 1.0%	32,638 9.7%	124,229 37.1%	24,526 7.3%
1997	79,350 26.1%	—	65,325 21.5%	8,670 2.9%	16,319 5.4%	130,561 42.9%	3,844 1.3%
2000	88,094 28.0%	—	40,367 12.8%	12,291 3.9%	25,512 8.1%	140,877 44.8%	7,486 2.4%
2004	89,248 25.7%	108,848 31.4%	111,322 32.1%	35,182 10.1%	Merged into Conservative Party		2,241 0.6%
2006	83,579 22.7%	124,640 33.9%	132,333 36.0%	24,175 6.6%			3,112 0.8%
2008	67,821 18.7%	142,006 39.3%	113,924 31.5%	35,755 9.9%			2,251 0.6%
2011	30,125 7.9%	146,783 38.4%	146,878 38.5%	56,751 14.9%			1,395 0.4%
2015	100,557 21.3%	99,934 21.2%	157,187 33.3%	111,988 23.8%			1,854 0.4%
2019	76,739 15.9%	116,262 24.1%	150,437 31.2%	130,021 27.0%			8,652 1.8%
2021	81,548 17.8%	118,160 25.7%	170,555 37.0%	66,819 14.6%			22,040 4.8%

Liberal

Conservative

New Democratic

Green

People's

Progressive Conservative (defunct)

Alliance (defunct)

Reform (defunct)

2021

Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
Electoral district	Liberal		Conservative		NDP		Green		PPC		Other		Incumbent
Courtenay—Alberni		Susan Farlinger 9,276 13.39%		Mary Lee 22,181 32.03%		Gord Johns 30,612 44.21%		Susanne Lawson 3,590 5.18%		Robert Eppich 3,467 5.01%		Barbara Biley (M-L) 124 0.18%		Gord Johns
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford		Blair Herbert 10,320 16.37%		Alana DeLong 17,870 28.35%		Alistair MacGregor 26,968 42.78%		Lia Versaevel 3,922 6.22%		Mark Hecht 3,952 6.27%				Alistair MacGregor
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke		Doug Kobayashi 14,466 22.07%		Laura Anne Frost 13,885 21.18%		Randall Garrison 28,056 42.81%		Harley Gordon 5,891 8.99%		Rob Anderson 2,995 4.57%		Tyson Riel Strandlund (Comm.) 249 0.38%		Randall Garrison
Nanaimo—Ladysmith		Michelle Corfield 9,314 13.54%		Tamara Kronis 18,627 27.09%		Lisa Marie Barron 19,826 28.83%		Paul Manly 17,640 25.65%		Stephen Welton 3,358 4.88%				Paul Manly
North Island—Powell River		Jennifer Grenz 7,922 13.15%		Shelley Downey 21,670 35.96%		Rachel Blaney 23,833 39.55%		Jessica Wegg 3,656 6.07%		Paul Macknight 2,795 4.64%		Stacey Gastis (Mav.) 310 0.51%		Rachel Blaney
North Island—Powell River		Jennifer Grenz 7,922 13.15%		Shelley Downey 21,670 35.96%		Rachel Blaney 23,833 39.55%		Jessica Wegg 3,656 6.07%		Paul Macknight 2,795 4.64%		Carla Neal (M-L) 77 0.13%		Rachel Blaney
Saanich—Gulf Islands		Sherri Moore-Arbour 12,056 18.40%		David Busch 14,775 22.55%		Sabina Singh 11,959 18.25%		Elizabeth May 24,648 37.62%		David Hilderman 1,943 2.97%		Dock Currie (Comm.) 141 0.22%		Elizabeth May
Victoria		Nikki Macdonald 18,194 27.26%		Hannah Hodson 9,152 13.71%		Laurel Collins 29,301 43.90%		Nick Loughton 7,472 11.19%		John Randal Phipps 2,065 3.09%		Jordan Reichert (Animal) 273 0.41%		Laurel Collins
Victoria		Nikki Macdonald 18,194 27.26%		Hannah Hodson 9,152 13.71%		Laurel Collins 29,301 43.90%		Nick Loughton 7,472 11.19%		John Randal Phipps 2,065 3.09%		Janis Zroback (Comm.) 291 0.44%		Laurel Collins

2019

Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
Electoral district	Liberal		Conservative		NDP		Green		PPC		Other		Incumbent
Courtenay—Alberni		Jonah Baden Gowans 8,620 11.93%		Byron Horner 23,936 33.12%		Gord Johns 29,790 41.21%		Sean Wood 9,762 13.51%				Barbara Biley (M-L) 172 0.24%		Gord Johns
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford		Blair Herbert 10,301 15.79%		Alana DeLong 16,959 26.00%		Alistair MacGregor 23,519 36.06%		Lydia Hwitsum 13,181 20.21%		Rhonda Chen 1,066 1.63%		Robin Morton Stanbridge (CHP) 202 0.31%		Alistair MacGregor
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke		Jamie Hammond 12,554 17.90%		Randall Pewarchuk 13,409 19.12%		Randall Garrison 23,887 34.06%		David Merner 18,506 26.39%		Jeremy Gustafson 1,089 1.55%		Fidelia Godron (Ind.) 99 0.14% Louis Lesosky (Ind.) 100 0.14% Philip Ney (Ind.) 83 0.12% Josh Steffler (Libert.) 287 0.41% Tyson Strandlund (Comm.) 111 0.16%		Randall Garrison
Nanaimo—Ladysmith		Michelle Corfield 9,735 13.55%		John Hirst 18,634 25.93%		Bob Chamberlin 16,985 23.63%		Paul Manly 24,844 34.57%		Jennifer Clarke 1,049 1.46%		James Chumsa (Comm.) 104 0.14% Brian Marlatt (PC) 207 0.29% Geoff Stoneman (Ind.) 235 0.33% Echo White (Ind.) 71 0.10%		Paul Manly
North Island—Powell River		Peter Schwarzhoff 8,251 13.11%		Shelley Downey 20,502 32.59%		Rachel Blaney 23,834 37.88%		Mark de Bruijn 8,891 14.13%		Brian Rundle 1,102 1.75%		Carla Neal (M-L) 48 0.08% Glen Staples (Ind.) 287 0.46%		Rachel Blaney
Saanich—Gulf Islands		Ryan Windsor 11,326 16.62%		David Busch 13,784 20.23%		Sabina Singh 8,657 12.70%		Elizabeth May 33,454 49.09%		Ron Broda 929 1.36%				Elizabeth May
Victoria		Nikki Macdonald 15,952 22.30%		Richard Caron 9,038 12.63%		Laurel Collins 23,765 33.21%		Racelle Kooy 21,383 29.89%		Alyson Culbert 920 1.29%		Robert Duncan (Comm.) 113 0.16% Jordan Reichert (Animal) 221 0.31% Keith Rosenberg (VCP) 46 0.06% David Shebib (Ind.) 111 0.16%		Murray Rankin†

2015

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Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
Electoral district	Conservative		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other		Incumbent
Courtenay—Alberni		John Duncan 19,714 28.22%		Gord Johns 26,582 38.06%		Carrie Powell-Davidson 15,212 21.78%		Glenn Sollitt 8,201 11.74%		Barbara Biley (M-L) 140 0.20%		James Lunney† Nanaimo—Alberni
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford		Martin Barker 14,091 22.81%		Alistair MacGregor 22,200 35.94%		Luke Krayenhoff 14,685 23.77%		Fran Hunt-Jinnouchi 10,462 16.93%		Alastair Haythornthwaite (M-L) 340 0.55%		Jean Crowder† Nanaimo—Cowichan
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke		Shari Lukens 11,912 17.50%		Randall Garrison 23,836 35.01%		David Merner 18,622 27.35%		Frances Litman 13,575 19.94%		Tyson Strandlund (Comm.) 136 0.20%		Randall Garrison Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca
Nanaimo—Ladysmith		Mark Allen MacDonald 16,637 23.35%		Sheila Malcolmson 23,651 33.20%		Tim Tessier 16,753 23.52%		Paul Manly 14,074 19.76%		Jack East (M-L) 126 0.18%	New District
North Island—Powell River		Laura Smith 15,840 26.17%		Rachel Blaney 24,340 40.21%		Peter Schwarzhoff 15,416 25.47%		Brenda Sayers 4,940 8.16%				John Duncan‡ Vancouver Island North
Saanich—Gulf Islands		Robert Boyd 13,260 19.46%		Alicia Cormier 6,181 9.07%		Tim Kane 11,380 16.70%		Elizabeth May 37,070 54.40%		Meghan Jess Porter (Libert.) 249 0.37%		Elizabeth May
Victoria		John Rizzuti 8,480 11.79%		Murray Rankin 30,397 42.28%		Cheryl Thomas 8,489 11.81%^[a]		Jo-Ann Roberts 23,666 32.92%		Saul Andersen (Ind.) 124 0.17%		Murray Rankin
										Art Lowe (Libert.) 539 0.75%
										Jordan Reichert (Animal All.) 200 0.28%

^ Cheryl Thomas publicly withdrew from the election 30 September;^[1] her name remained on the ballot as a Liberal candidate because no change could be made to the list of candidates after 28 September.^[2]

2011

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Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
Electoral district	Conservative		Liberal		NDP		Green		Other		Incumbent
Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca		Troy DeSouza 25,792 40.24%		Lillian Szpak 6,439 10.05%		Randall C. Garrison 26,198 40.87%		Shaunna Salsman 5,341 8.33%		Louis James Lesosky (Ind.) 181 0.28%		Keith Martin†
Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca		Troy DeSouza 25,792 40.24%		Lillian Szpak 6,439 10.05%		Randall C. Garrison 26,198 40.87%		Shaunna Salsman 5,341 8.33%		Christopher Robert Porter (CAP) 145 0.23%		Keith Martin†
Nanaimo—Alberni		James Lunney 30,469 46.42%		Renée Amber Miller 4,984 7.59%		Zenaida Maartman 25,165 38.34%		Myron Jespersen 4,482 6.83%		Barbara Biley (M-L) 81 0.12%		James Lunney
										Jesse Schroeder (Pirate) 363 0.55%
										Frank Wagner (CHP) 94 0.14%
Nanaimo—Cowichan		John Koury 24,497 38.31%		Brian Fillmore 3,007 4.70%		Jean Crowder 31,272 48.90%		Anne Marie Benoit 5,005 7.83%		Jack East (M-L) 170 0.27%		Jean Crowder
Saanich—Gulf Islands		Gary Lunn 24,544 35.66%		Renée Hetherington 4,208 6.11%		Edith Loring-Kuhanga 8,185 11.89%		Elizabeth May 31,890 46.33%				Gary Lunn
Vancouver Island North		John Duncan 27,206 46.11%		Mike Holland 3,039 5.15%		Ronna-Rae Leonard 25,379 43.01%		Sue Moen 3,018 5.11%		Jason Draper (Ind.) 304 0.52%		John Duncan
Vancouver Island North		John Duncan 27,206 46.11%		Mike Holland 3,039 5.15%		Ronna-Rae Leonard 25,379 43.01%		Sue Moen 3,018 5.11%		Frank Martin (M-L) 57 0.10%		John Duncan
Victoria		Patrick Hunt 14,275 23.63%		Christopher Causton 8,448 13.98%		Denise Savoie 30,679 50.78%		Jared Giesbrecht 7,015 11.61%				Denise Savoie

2008

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Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
Electoral district	Conservative		Liberal		NDP		Green		Other		Incumbent
Esquimalt— Juan de Fuca		Troy DeSouza 19,974 34.07%		Keith Martin 20,042 34.18%		Jennifer Burgis 13,322 22.72%		Brian G. Gordon 4,854 8.28%		Philip G. Ney (Ind.) 309 0.53%		Keith Martin
Esquimalt— Juan de Fuca		Troy DeSouza 19,974 34.07%		Keith Martin 20,042 34.18%		Jennifer Burgis 13,322 22.72%		Brian G. Gordon 4,854 8.28%		Brad Rhodes (CAP) 130 0.22%		Keith Martin
Nanaimo—Alberni		James Lunney 28,930 46.68%		Richard Pesik 5,578 9.00%		Zeni Maartman 19,680 31.75%		John Fryer 7,457 12.03%		Barbara Biley (M-L) 155 0.25%		James Lunney
Nanaimo—Alberni		James Lunney 28,930 46.68%		Richard Pesik 5,578 9.00%		Zeni Maartman 19,680 31.75%		John Fryer 7,457 12.03%		Frank Wagner (CHP) 176 0.28%		James Lunney
Nanaimo—Cowichan		Reed Elley 22,844 37.59%		Brian Scott 4,483 7.38%		Jean Crowder 27,454 45.17%		Christina Knighton 5,816 9.57%		Jack East (M-L) 182 0.30%		Jean Crowder
Saanich— Gulf Islands		Gary Lunn 27,991 43.42%		Briony Penn 25,366 39.35%		Julian West¹ 3,667 5.69%		Andrew Lewis 6,742 10.46%		Jeremy Arney (CAP) 139 0.22%		Gary Lunn
										Dale P. Leier (Libert.) 246 0.38%
										Dan Moreau (CHP) 114 0.18%
										Patricia O'Brien (WBP) 195 0.30%
Vancouver Island North		John Duncan 25,963 45.78%		Geoff Fleischer 2,380 4.20%		Catherine Bell 23,466 41.38%		Philip Stone 4,544 8.01%		Jason Draper (Ind.) 362 0.64%		Catherine Bell
Victoria		Jack McClintock 16,337 27.56%		Anne Park Shannon 10,006 16.88%		Denise Savoie 26,443 44.61%		Adam Saab 6,252 10.55%		John Cooper (CHP) 237 0.40%		Denise Savoie

Julian West stepped down, however his name remained on the ballot.

2006

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Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
Electoral district	Liberal		Conservative		NDP		Green		Canadian Action		Other		Incumbent
Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca		Keith Martin 20,761 34.93%		Troy DeSouza 16,327 27.47%		Randall Garrison 18,595 31.29%		Mike Robinson 3,385 5.70%		David Piney 89 0.15%		Douglas Christie (WBP) 272 0.46%		Keith Martin
Nanaimo—Alberni		Jim Stewart 12,023 19.05%		James Lunney 26,102 41.36%		Manjeet Uppal 20,335 32.23%		David Wright 3,379 5.35%		Jen Fisher-Bradley 113 0.18%		Barbara Biley (M-L) 94 0.15%		James Lunney
												R. L. Dusty Miller (Ind.) 920 1.46%
												Frank Wagner (CHP) 136 0.22%
Nanaimo—Cowichan		Brian Scott 9,352 15.32%		Norm Sowden 19,615 32.13%		Jean Crowder 28,558 46.77%		Harold Henn 3,107 5.09%		Jeff Warr 277 0.45%		Jack East (M-L) 148 0.24%		Jean Crowder
Saanich—Gulf Islands		Sheila Orr 17,144 26.09%		Gary Vincent Lunn 24,416 37.15%		Jennifer Burgis 17,445 26.54%		Andrew Lewis 6,533 9.94%				Patricia O'Brien (WBP) 183 0.28%		Gary Lunn
Vancouver Island North		Jim Mitchell 7,239 12.83%		John Duncan 22,936 40.64%		Catherine Bell 23,552 41.73%		Michael Mascall 2,715 4.81%						John Duncan
Victoria		David Mulroney 17,056 27.52%		Robin Baird 15,249 24.60%		Denise Savoie 23,839 38.46%		Ariel Lade 5,036 8.13%				Saul Andersen (Ind.) 282 0.45%		David Anderson†
												Bruce Burnett (WBP) 208 0.34%
												Fred Mallach (Mar.) 311 0.50%

2004

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Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
Electoral district	Liberal		Conservative		NDP		Green		Canadian Action		Other		Incumbent
Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca		Keith Martin 19,389 35.30%		John Koury 13,271 24.16%		Randall Garrison 16,821 30.62%		Jane Sterk 5,078 9.24%		Shawn W. Giles 141 0.26%		Jen Fisher-Bradley (Ind.) 229 0.42%		Keith Martin¹
Nanaimo—Alberni		Hira Chopra 11,770 19.86%		James D Lunney 23,158 39.07%		Scott Fraser 19,152 32.31%		David Wright 4,357 7.35%		Diana E. Lifton 201 0.34%		Barbara Biley (M-L) 80 0.13%		James Lunney
Nanaimo—Alberni		Hira Chopra 11,770 19.86%		James D Lunney 23,158 39.07%		Scott Fraser 19,152 32.31%		David Wright 4,357 7.35%		Diana E. Lifton 201 0.34%		Michael Mann (Mar.) 560 0.94%		James Lunney
Nanaimo—Cowichan		Lloyd Macilquham 9,257 16.03%		Dave Quist 18,928 32.78%		Jean Crowder 25,243 43.71%		Harold Henn 3,822 6.62%		Jeffrey Ian Warr 270 0.47%		Brunie Brunie (Ind.) 229 0.40%		Reed Elley†
Saanich—Gulf Islands		David Mulroney 17,082 26.79%		Gary Lunn 22,050 34.58%		Jennifer Burgis 13,763 21.58%		Andrew Lewis 10,662 16.72%				Mary Moreau (Ind.) 214 0.34%		Gary Lunn
Vancouver Island North		Noor Ahmed 11,352 21.46%		John Duncan 18,733 35.41%		Catherine Bell 18,250 34.50%		Pam Munroe 4,456 8.42%				Jack East (M-L) 111 0.21%		John Duncan
Victoria		David Anderson 20,398 35.04%		Logan Wenham 12,708 21.83%		David Turner 18,093 31.08%		Ariel Lade 6,807 11.69%		Derek J. Skinner 206 0.35%				David Anderson

¹ Martin formerly Conservative, became Independent, ran for re-election as Liberal

Maps

Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
Nanaimo-Alberni
Nanaimo-Cowichan
Saanich-Gulf Islands
Vancouver Island North
Victoria

Key map
Conservative Party of Canada
Green Party of Canada
Liberal Party of Canada
New Democratic Party

2000

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Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
Electoral district	Liberal		Canadian Alliance		NDP		PC		Green		Other		Incumbent
Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca		Alan Thompson 11,536		Keith Martin 23,984		Carol E. Harris 6,468		John Vukovic 3,857		Casey Brennan 2,056		Paul E. Tessier (NL) 324		Keith Martin
Nanaimo—Alberni		Hira Chopra 10,877		James Lunney 26,516		Bill Holdom 7,635		Bill McCullough 5,340				Donald Lavallee (Mar.) 1,125 Brunie Brunie (Ind) 830 Marty Howe (NL) 235		James Lunney
Nanaimo—Cowichan		Marshall Cooper 10,857		Reed Elley 23,641		Garth Mirau 8,599		Cynthia-Mary Hemsworth 3,640		Norm Abbey 1,196		Doug Catley (CAP) 1,500 Meaghan Walker-Williams (Mar.) 1,262		Reed Elley
Saanich—Gulf Islands		Karen Knott 19,002		Gary Lunn 25,392		Pat O'Neill 4,721		Don Page 6,049		Wally Du Temple 3,243		Kathleen Lapeyrouse (NL) 217 Dan Moreau (Ind) 123 Charley Stimac (Com.) 88		Gary Lunn
Vancouver Island North		Daniel P. Smith 12,092		John Duncan 24,844		Alex Turner 5,701		David R. Tingley 2,994		Pam Munroe 2,532		John Krell (Ind) 216 Nancy More (NL) 205 Jack East (M-L) 92		John Duncan
Victoria		David Anderson 23,730		Bruce Hallsor 16,502		David Turner 7,243		Brian Burchill 3,629		Joan Russow 3,264		Chuck Beyer (Mar) 863 Cal Danyluk (NL) 138 Lorenzo A. Bouchard (Ind) 101 Scott Rushton (Comm) 92 Mary Moreau (Ind) 75		David Anderson

Notes

References

^ Harnett, Cindy E. (30 September 2015). "Liberal candidate withdraws from Victoria race over Facebook posts". The Vancouver Sun. Postmedia Network Inc. Retrieved 1 October 2015.
^ Harnett, Cindy E. (2 October 2015). "Liberal's name staying on Victoria ballot despite withdrawal". Times Colonist (Victoria, BC). Glacier Community Media. Retrieved 8 October 2015.